Texas Pacific Land Stock Soars 198% on AI Data Center Boom

Texas Pacific Land Corp., a century-old landowner, has emerged as an unexpected beneficiary of the artificial intelligence revolution, with its stock surging an impressive 198% year-to-date to trade at $1,593.52 per share as of midday Monday. The company now boasts a market capitalization of nearly $37 billion, with shares jumping 14% on Friday following the announcement that it would replace Marathon Oil Corp. in the S&P 500.

The Dallas-based company owns 873,000 acres of prime land in the Permian Basin, a renowned oil and gas hub in West Texas. This massive landholding, already home to bitcoin mining operations, renewable power assets, and large-scale battery installations, is now positioned to capitalize on the explosive demand for AI infrastructure. Tech giants including Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are scrambling to secure space and power for data centers that fuel their AI ambitions, with these companies expected to spend over $200 billion on AI infrastructure in the coming year, according to Bloomberg data.

The appeal of Texas Pacific Land’s holdings lies in their strategic location adjacent to cheap and abundant natural gas resources. Data centers require enormous amounts of electricity and space to operate, and according to Bernstein Research estimates, electricity demand from these facilities is projected to exceed supply within just two years. The Permian Basin’s oil abundance produces such vast quantities of natural gas that pipelines frequently reach capacity, with gas prices in the area even turning negative at several points this year.

CEO Tyler Glover expressed confidence in the company’s positioning during a recent investor call, stating that Texas Pacific Land is “positioned as well as anyone in West Texas to provide land and water solutions” for data center opportunities. He emphasized that “nobody has more land than us in West Texas,” highlighting the company’s competitive advantage in this emerging market.

Founded in 1888 to repay bondholders of a failed railroad venture, Texas Pacific Land has evolved into a major corporation. The land’s value skyrocketed during the shale boom of the early 21st century. Today, the company generates revenue through multiple streams: oil and gas royalties from major producers like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, land leasing to drilling operations, wastewater disposal services, and water sales to fracking companies. Its recent expansion into bitcoin mining and renewable energy projects demonstrates adaptability that now extends to the AI data center opportunity.

Key Quotes

We feel that we’re positioned as well as anyone in West Texas to provide land and water solutions as those opportunities unfold

CEO Tyler Glover made this statement during an investor call this month, referring to opportunities to lease land for AI data centers. His confidence reflects the company’s strategic advantage in owning massive acreage adjacent to cheap energy sources that tech companies desperately need.

TPL just has a lot of positive attributes for data centers. Nobody has more land than us in West Texas.

Glover emphasized the company’s competitive positioning in the emerging AI infrastructure market. This statement underscores Texas Pacific Land’s unique advantage of controlling 873,000 acres in a region with abundant, cheap natural gas—exactly what power-hungry data centers require.

Our Take

Texas Pacific Land’s remarkable stock performance illustrates a critical yet often overlooked aspect of the AI revolution: the physical infrastructure requirements. While much attention focuses on AI models and software, the reality is that AI runs on massive data centers requiring enormous amounts of electricity and land. The company’s century-long history of adapting—from railroad bonds to oil royalties to bitcoin mines and now AI data centers—demonstrates remarkable business evolution. The convergence of cheap natural gas, vast land holdings, and proximity to tech-hungry markets positions Texas Pacific Land at a unique inflection point. However, investors should note the risks: regulatory challenges around energy consumption, potential environmental concerns, and the possibility that AI infrastructure needs could be met through alternative solutions like more efficient chips or distributed computing. Nevertheless, the $200 billion AI infrastructure spending forecast suggests this opportunity is substantial and immediate.

Why This Matters

This story represents a significant intersection of traditional energy assets and cutting-edge AI infrastructure needs, highlighting how the AI boom is creating unexpected winners across diverse sectors. The 198% stock surge underscores investor confidence that AI’s infrastructure demands will reshape real estate and energy markets in fundamental ways.

The broader implications are substantial: as tech giants race to build AI capabilities, they face critical bottlenecks in securing adequate power and space. This creates opportunities for companies with strategic land holdings near energy sources, potentially reshaping regional economies and land valuations. The fact that a 136-year-old land company is now valued at $37 billion largely due to AI potential demonstrates the transformative economic impact of artificial intelligence beyond the tech sector.

For businesses and investors, this signals that AI infrastructure requirements—particularly power and real estate—represent a major investment theme. The Bernstein Research projection that data center electricity demand will exceed supply within two years suggests an impending crisis that could constrain AI development unless addressed. This story also highlights Texas’s emerging role as an AI infrastructure hub, leveraging its energy resources and business-friendly environment to attract tech investment.

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Source: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/texas-pacific-land-stock-ai-data-center-demand-natural-gas-2024-11