Biden Admin Eyes New China Chip Sanctions Targeting AI Development

The Biden administration is preparing to impose sweeping new sanctions on China’s semiconductor industry, with a particular focus on equipment manufacturers and firms supplying chipmakers crucial to AI development. According to Bloomberg, the proposed restrictions would add approximately 100 Chinese chip equipment makers to the entity list, marking a significant escalation in U.S. efforts to limit China’s technological advancement.

The announcement triggered immediate market reactions, with European and Japanese semiconductor suppliers seeing substantial gains. ASML, the Dutch company that provides specialized equipment to chip manufacturers including China’s SMIC, saw its share price surge more than 4.27% on Thursday. Tokyo Electron, another major chip equipment supplier, experienced an even larger jump of over 6% on the same day.

Expected to be announced as early as next week, the restrictions could add up to 200 Chinese chip firms to the U.S. trade blacklist, according to Wired. The sanctions would target key suppliers to Huawei, though reportedly affecting fewer Huawei suppliers than previous proposals. Critically, the controls may include restrictions on memory chip trading, which are essential components for developing advanced AI models.

The new rules would require companies—including foreign firms using American parts or software in designing and manufacturing AI chips—to obtain licenses for exports to China. This represents a broader interpretation of U.S. jurisdiction over the global semiconductor supply chain.

Chinese markets responded negatively to the news, with the Hang Seng index sliding more than 1%, while the CSI and Shanghai Composite declined 0.57% and 0.10%, respectively. Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank’s global head of economics and thematic research, directly attributed the decline to anticipation of the Biden administration’s semiconductor restrictions.

China’s foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning strongly condemned the proposed measures, stating that “China is firmly opposed to the US overstretching the concept of national security, abusing export control measures, and making malicious attempts to block and suppress China.” The statement reflects Beijing’s growing frustration with U.S. technology restrictions that have been implemented over recent years to limit China’s progress in advanced semiconductors and AI capabilities.

Key Quotes

This decline is occurring as the Biden administration is considering imposing additional restrictions on the sale of crucial semiconductors to China, possibly as early as next week

Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank’s global head of economics and thematic research, directly connected Chinese market declines to anticipation of the semiconductor sanctions, highlighting the immediate economic impact of U.S. technology policy.

China is firmly opposed to the US overstretching the concept of national security, abusing export control measures, and making malicious attempts to block and suppress China

Mao Ning, spokesperson for China’s foreign ministry, delivered this sharp rebuke at a press conference, reflecting Beijing’s view that U.S. sanctions represent economic containment rather than legitimate security concerns.

Our Take

These proposed sanctions represent a strategic pivot in how the U.S. approaches technology competition with China. By targeting equipment manufacturers rather than just end-product chipmakers, the Biden administration is attempting to constrain China’s ability to build domestic semiconductor capabilities from the ground up. The specific focus on memory chips reveals the administration’s understanding that AI development depends on entire ecosystems, not just cutting-edge processors. However, this approach carries risks—it may accelerate China’s push for self-sufficiency while straining relationships with allies whose companies depend on Chinese markets. The market reaction, with European and Japanese suppliers gaining while Chinese stocks fell, illustrates how geopolitical tensions are creating winners and losers in the global tech economy. As AI becomes increasingly central to economic and military power, expect semiconductor policy to remain a flashpoint in U.S.-China relations.

Why This Matters

This development represents a critical escalation in the U.S.-China technology rivalry, particularly concerning artificial intelligence capabilities. Memory chips and advanced semiconductors are the foundational infrastructure for AI development, and restricting China’s access could significantly impact the global AI race. The sanctions demonstrate how AI competition is reshaping international trade policy and forcing companies worldwide to navigate increasingly complex geopolitical tensions.

For the global semiconductor industry, these restrictions create both opportunities and challenges. While European and Japanese suppliers may benefit from reduced Chinese competition, the fragmentation of the global chip supply chain could lead to inefficiencies and higher costs. The requirement for foreign firms using American technology to obtain export licenses extends U.S. regulatory reach globally, potentially forcing companies to choose between American and Chinese markets.

The timing is particularly significant as AI development accelerates worldwide, with memory chips and advanced processors becoming increasingly critical. These sanctions could slow China’s AI ambitions while potentially spurring greater investment in domestic Chinese semiconductor capabilities, ultimately reshaping the global technology landscape for years to come.

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Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/us-biden-china-curbs-stocks-chip-suppliers-asml-2024-11