AI Won't Take as Many Jobs as Feared, Says OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has offered a reassuring perspective on the ongoing debate about artificial intelligence’s impact on employment, suggesting that fears of widespread job displacement may be overblown. In a recent interview with Indeed CEO Chris Hyams, Altman advised students worried about AI replacing their careers to “double down” on learning to use the technology—an approach he credits for his own success with computer programming.

“I’m confident that there will be lots of jobs and also that many of them will look somewhat different than the jobs of today, but we never seem to run out of stuff to do,” Altman stated. His optimistic outlook contrasts sharply with warnings from Silicon Valley investor Vinod Khosla, who predicted that AI could eventually handle 80% of the work in 80% of jobs, and that traditional upskilling might not protect workers from displacement.

Supporting Altman’s position, a new Indeed study identified more than 2,800 work skills and determined that none were “very likely” to be completely replaced by generative AI. Using extensive prompts with GenAI tools, researchers found that human skills remain largely irreplaceable. Svenja Gudell, Indeed’s chief economist, acknowledged that while upskilling offers significant benefits, it’s “not magic,” and some workers may still face job losses due to technological advancement.

The study also revealed a surge in demand and compensation for AI-related roles. “If you’re a prompt engineer—if you’re a machine learning engineer that can actually program some of this stuff—you’re getting a very healthy wage increase,” Gudell noted. This trend suggests the job market is adapting by creating new opportunities rather than simply eliminating existing ones.

Despite concerns about an “AI job-pocalypse,” interest in technology education remains strong. Code Ninjas, which teaches software engineering to children ages 5-14, is experiencing robust growth with plans to expand from 350 to 550 locations within two years. Edward Kim, the company’s VP of education and training, reports that students are learning programming languages in 6-12 months compared to 18 months previously, demonstrating an “increasing thirst” for technical knowledge.

Professional software engineers, while using AI to generate starter code, remain confident about their job security because their work requires human context and real-world application beyond simple coding tasks.

Key Quotes

I’m confident that there will be lots of jobs and also that many of them will look somewhat different than the jobs of today, but we never seem to run out of stuff to do.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made this statement during an interview with Indeed CEO Chris Hyams, offering a reassuring perspective that counters widespread fears about AI-driven unemployment. His comment suggests that while AI will transform the nature of work, it won’t eliminate the need for human workers.

If you’re a prompt engineer—if you’re a machine learning engineer that can actually program some of this stuff—you’re getting a very healthy wage increase.

Svenja Gudell, Indeed’s chief economist, highlighted how AI is creating lucrative new job categories rather than simply eliminating existing roles. This observation demonstrates that the AI revolution is generating demand for specialized skills and rewarding those who develop AI expertise.

It has made some classes of jobs go away. Still, it’s made way more new things happen and also given us the ability to do a lot of new things.

Sam Altman reflected on his experience with computer programming, drawing parallels to current AI concerns. His perspective suggests that technological disruption historically creates more opportunities than it destroys, offering a historical framework for understanding AI’s potential impact.

They’ll have to figure out how to use these tools. It won’t be easy. But at least with the technology that we’re seeing today, it’s not the kind of AI automation where you have smart robots working in warehouses.

Indeed’s Svenja Gudell acknowledged that while upskilling isn’t a guaranteed solution, current AI technology remains limited compared to more advanced automation scenarios. Her comment provides a realistic middle ground between extreme optimism and pessimism about AI’s employment impact.

Our Take

The contrasting perspectives from Altman and Khosla reveal the fundamental uncertainty surrounding AI’s employment impact. Altman’s optimism may partly reflect his position leading OpenAI—he has incentives to downplay disruption concerns. However, the Indeed study provides empirical support for his view, suggesting current AI capabilities complement rather than replace human skills.

What’s particularly noteworthy is the behavioral response: despite job displacement fears, demand for tech education is surging. This suggests the market is voting with its feet, betting that AI literacy will be protective rather than futile. The acceleration in learning speeds at Code Ninjas—from 18 months to 6-12 months—hints that AI tools may actually be enhancing human learning capabilities.

The real question isn’t whether AI will eliminate jobs, but whether the pace of job creation matches displacement, and whether displaced workers can successfully transition. The premium wages for AI specialists suggest strong near-term opportunities, but Khosla’s warnings about bipedal robots and advanced automation shouldn’t be dismissed entirely.

Why This Matters

This debate represents a critical inflection point in how society approaches AI adoption and workforce development. Altman’s reassurance from one of AI’s most influential leaders could shape public policy, educational priorities, and corporate training investments. The divergence between his optimism and Khosla’s warnings highlights the uncertainty surrounding AI’s true employment impact.

The Indeed study provides crucial data suggesting that human skills remain largely irreplaceable, at least with current AI capabilities. This finding could influence how businesses approach AI integration and workforce planning. The surge in demand for AI-specialized roles like prompt engineers and machine learning specialists indicates the technology is creating new job categories rather than simply eliminating existing ones.

The strong interest in coding education among children, despite AI’s capabilities, suggests that younger generations view AI as a tool to master rather than a threat to avoid. This mindset shift could determine whether the workforce successfully adapts to AI or faces widespread displacement. The story underscores that while AI will undoubtedly transform work, the outcome depends largely on how proactively individuals and institutions embrace upskilling and adaptation.

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Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-wont-take-as-many-jobs-as-feared-altman-2024-9